Republican Mike DeWine leads Democrat Richard Cordray by four points in the race for governor in Ohio, 48.6 percent to 43.9 percent, with 7.5 percent undecided, in The Ohio Star Poll released on Friday. DeWine’s 4.7 percent lead over Cordray is consistent with other recent polls of the race.
Incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) leads Rep. Jim Renacci (R-OH-16) by 10 points in the Senate race, 52.5 percent to 42.3 percent, with 5.2 percent undecided.
The poll of 1,003 likely voters in Ohio was conducted for The Ohio Star by Triton Polling and Research between September 18 and September 20 and has a 3.1 percent margin of error.
Four other statewide races are very close, all within the poll’s margin of error:
In the race for Ohio Attorney General, Republican David Yost leads Democrat Steve Dettelbach by two points, 44 percent to 41.8 percent.
In the race for Ohio Secretary of State, Democrat Kathleen Clyde leads Republican Frank La Rose by three points, 43.1 percent to 40.2 percent.
In the race for Ohio Auditor, Democrat Zack Space leads Republican Keith Faber by 1 point, 38.7 percent to 37.8 percent, with Libertarian Bob Coogan in third place with 12.9 percent.
In the race for Ohio Treasurer General, Democrat Rob Richardson, Jr. leads Republican Robert Sprague by 3 points, 42.4 percent to 38.9 percent.
Ohio Star Political Editor Steve Gill says that Renacci has a lot of room to expand his support in the next six weeks by increasing his name recognition and driving home the message voters are choosing whether Republicans or Democrats will control the U.S. Senate.
“The Senate race will tighten, particularly as the despicable behavior that has been displayed by Democrat Senators during the confirmation hearings for Bret Kavanaugh gives voters a clear view of what a Democrat-controlled Senate would look and act like,” Gill said.
“The other races are all close,” Gill adds, “so it is a turnout election. Democrats have been claiming an ‘enthusiasm edge’ for the past year and we will soon find out whether or not the Republicans can motivate their base to turnout and keep Ohio ‘red’ or not. If Republicans generally, and Trump supporters specifically, cannot get engaged and enraged watching the Kavanaugh confirmation process then it’s hard to imagine anything that would get the job done better.”
The poll also had some interesting results about approval ratings for President Trump, former President Obama, and Gov. Kasich.
Slightly more likely voters in Ohio view President Trump unfavorably than favorably, while slightly more view former President Obama favorably than unfavorably.
Forty-five percent view President Trump favorably, while 51 percent view him unfavorably.
Fifty-one percent view former President Obama favorably, while 45 percent view him unfavorably.
Gov. Kasich fares no better than President Trump when it comes to his favorability rating.
Thirty-seven percent of likely voters in Ohio view the governor favorably, while 42 percent view him unfavorably.
Gill notes that the survey probably slightly over sampled Democrat voters since it has a one percent weighted advantage for Republicans when the state leans a bit more Republican than that voter distribution percentage.
Thirty-eight percent of poll respondents described themselves as Republicans, while 37 percent described themselves as Democrats and 21 percent said they were Independents.
You can see the topline summary of the poll results here:180920 Triton - Ohio Star Statewide Ohio Survey - Topline Results